Environmental Science & Engineering - www.esemag.com - November 2005
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A supercomputing solution for air quality permitting

By Dr Ka-Hing Yau and Prof. Jesse L.Thé

A contour diagram of the ground level concentration of SO2 predicted by CALPUFF for a one-day simulation. Two distinct plumes emerge from the stack because the wind shifts its direction during the day.

Canada has been enjoying increasing activity in mining and exploration, particularly among the resource-rich provinces such as British Columbia and Alberta. However, these are also home to vulnerable national parks and scenic areas.

In the US the national parks are often classified as Class I area under the provision of Clean Air Act. Haze formation due to pollutants and acid rain are of particular concerns in national parks. New projects in the neighboring areas are subject to stringent environmental impact assessment. This usually involves regional studies of visibility analysis and deposition of sulfuric or nitrous chemicals.

In the US, regulators are suggesting more frequently that request applicants utilize CALPUFF to perform Class I area impact analyses, long range transport of pollutants, visibility studies for BART, and impact evaluation of sources close to the ocean.

These studies involve visibility analysis, shoreline fumigation, and calculation of the deposition of acidic species. CALPUFF is also a preferred long-range model in many Canadian provinces including B.C. and Alberta. However, the execution of CALPUFF requires considerable expertise and resources. Modelers performing these analyses may require external support on several fronts, from preparation of the input data to the execution of the model.

CALPUFF is a generalized non-steady- state air quality system for regulatory use. It was originally developed by Earth Tech Inc. under a contract with the California Air Resources Board (CARB). The US EPA has proposed the CALPUFF modeling system as a Guideline model for regulatory applications involving long distance transport and on a case-by-case basis for near-field applications where non-steady- state effects are significant. The latter applies to situations where factors such as spatial variability in the meteorological fields, calm winds, fumigation, recirculation or stagnation, and terrain or coastal effects are important.

As a case in point, we present our experience with a reputable client in Kuwait. The project is a typical air quality modeling exercise for a thermal power plant facility. The client needs to use refined CALPUFF modeling in a manner similar to Class I area analysis. This assessment begins with first evaluating the impacts from the existing sources. Subsequently, one must estimate the increase in pollution levels due to the new sources. Furthermore, various emission rate scenarios are inspected to assess air quality as the new power plant expands its output in subsequent stages and uses various grades of fuel quality. Each calculation must be performed over a 5-year period of meteorological data.

Preparation of meteorological data is often the first hurdle for modelers. Many international users outside of the US (including Canada) often face particular difficulty in obtaining conventional data for their home countries. We needed to employ meteorological data generated by MM5, an advanced numerical weather prediction (NWP) model. The resources required for executing the MM5 model are beyond the scope of this article. However, it suffices to say that 10 to 100 times more expertise and computer resources are required compared with common regulatory models such as AERMOD or CALPUFF when used with normal meteorological data.

For the Kuwait project we executed the prognostic model over the entire country at a resolution of 12 km. To complete the preparation of model input, we also included satellite base maps, global terrain data, and land use data prepared by us with a resolution of 1 km.

The execution of the CALPUFF model can be very slow because it has to trace numerous puffs in the computational domain. A single straight 5- year CALPUFF simulation of the client’s project required 80 days of CPU time on a single high-end PC. The whole project, with various emissions scenarios, would take 336 days for completion over a bank of 14 highend Xeon workstations in our company. To avoid any delay in the project, we developed an effective computing solution.

Lakes Environmental software offers a supercomputing service based on grid computing. The system distributes many small jobs running in the background of every computer and workstation available in the company. The straight CALPUFF execution was divided into a series of short monthly calculations for each single source. These small jobs were conveniently fed into the PC cluster. This resulted in a quick turnaround and less disturbance to coworkers, who had contributed their desktops for the computing pool. The partial impacts from each source were later added up to yield the total impact.

The above method works because puffs are non-interacting in the CALPUFF model. Moreover, the incremental impacts of the new sources were obtained right away. There was no need to repeat the calculations for the old sources. Further simplification was obtained by grouping identical sources to eliminate duplication. In addition, scaling of source strength was employed to estimate impact changes with respect to the fuel sulfur concentration. The latter is an approximation as the chemical formulation in CALPUFF is nonlinear. Nevertheless, it turned out to be an excellent approximation for the area of concern.

Lakes Environmental Software completed all the necessary calculations in one month, instead of one year.


Dr Ka-Hing Yau is a Senior Scientist at Lakes Environmental
Contact: Kahing.Yau@weblakes.com
Prof. Jesse L. Thé, is CEO of Lakes Environmental.
Contact: Jesse.The@weblakes.com


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